The Counter-deception Blog

Examples of deceptions and descriptions of techniques to detect them. This Blog encourages the awareness of deception in daily life and discussion of practical means to spot probable deceptions. Send your examples of deception and counter-deception to colonel_stech@yahoo.com.

Friday, November 18, 2005

 

Prewar Intelligence Continues to Shadow Bush

The New York Times 
November 15, 2005 NYTimes.com
Washington Memo

A Reminder of How Debate Over Prewar Intelligence Continues to Shadow Bush

WASHINGTON, Nov. 14 - At a time when the Bush administration is furiously parrying a new round of accusations that it exaggerated the threat from Saddam Hussein in leading the nation to war, the imagery on Monday was startling.

There was Ahmad Chalabi, who as a leader of Iraqi exiles before the war funneled what proved to be inaccurate information about Mr. Hussein's weapons programs to the United States, being whisked into meetings with Vice President Dick Cheney and Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, the most influential of the hawks in the administration when it came to Iraq.

The timing of the visit by Mr. Chalabi, now a deputy prime minister of Iraq, was coincidental. But his presence at such a sensitive moment was a reminder of how the debate over prewar intelligence continues to shadow President Bush more than three years after he began making the case in earnest for toppling Mr. Hussein and more than two years after it became clear that Iraq had no stockpiles of banned weapons.

With Mr. Bush politically weakened, the Democrats emboldened and public support for the war ebbing, the White House is building two main lines of defense. It is asserting that many Democrats saw the same threat from Iraq as the administration did. And it is pointing to two government studies that it says found no evidence that prewar intelligence, while admittedly flawed, had been twisted by political pressure.

The first is giving the White House some political protection, though not enough to deter Democratic attacks. The second addresses only part of the issue, because neither study directly addressed the broader question: whether the administration presented that intelligence to Congress, the nation and the world in a way that overstated what the intelligence said about the threat posed by Mr. Hussein's weapons programs and any links to terrorism.

The White House is right that many Democrats, including some of the same senators who are now criticizing Mr. Bush most vociferously over the war, expressed concerns about Iraq's weapons programs in the months and years before the invasion. When the resolution authorizing force came up in October 2002, 29 Democrats in the Senate and 81 in the House voted in favor, versus 21 in the Senate and 126 in the House who voted against it.

But many of those Democrats have said that they now believe they were misled by the administration in the way it presented the prewar intelligence. And the White House's assertion that two government studies back up its contention that it did not manipulate the intelligence obscures the critical distinction.

On Monday, at a stop in Alaska en route to Japan, Mr. Bush again said that the Democratic criticism was irresponsible and that "investigations of the intelligence on Iraq have concluded that only one person manipulated evidence and misled the world - and that person was Saddam Hussein."

But what Mr. Bush left unaddressed was the question of how his administration used that intelligence, which was full of caveats, subtleties and contradiction, to make the case for war.

That question is now again front and center in Washington, and Democrats seem determined to keep it there.

At a news conference Monday on Capitol Hill, Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the Democratic leader, ran through a list of topics the administration had cited to show that Iraq was a threat that had to be dealt with, including Mr. Hussein's efforts to acquire nuclear material and aluminum tubes that could be used in a nuclear program and terrorist training camps in Iraq.

"All of these things simply were not true," Mr. Reid said. "The administration knew that, but they did not share that with me or anyone else in Congress that I know of."

The White House's aggressive effort to defend itself has taken on all the trappings of a campaign. In an indication of the coordination between the White House and Republican leaders in Congress, Senator Bill Frist, the majority leader, plans to distribute to Senate Republicans on Tuesday a list, under the title Weapons of Mass Distortion, of statements made by Democrats raising the alarm about the threat from Iraq.

The situation makes the new effort by Senate Democrats to turn the focus on the use of intelligence a political minefield. Among the issues the Democrats are seeking to look into is whether public statements by Mr. Bush and others about Iraq exaggerated the threat it posed, even beyond what was described in the flawed intelligence presented to them.

To date, the two major official inquiries - by the Senate Intelligence Committee, in 2004, and the Robb-Silberman commission, in March 2005 - have addressed only the prewar intelligence itself. Neither found evidence that any political pressure by the Bush administration had contributed to the failures by the Central Intelligence Agency and others in assessing the threat posed by Iraq.

On the question of whether there were close, collaborative ties between Iraq and Al Qaeda, the reviews found that Mr. Cheney and others had encouraged analysts to rethink their skepticism, but they found no evidence that the repeated questioning from the administration had altered the conclusions reached by the agencies.

But neither panel compared public statements by Mr. Bush and his aides with the intelligence available at the time, or reviewed internal White House documents, including a draft of a speech to the United Nations Security Council later delivered by Colin L. Powell, then the secretary of state, for further evidence of how intelligence had been used.

The Robb-Silberman commission was established by the White House, not Congress, and in releasing its report last March, Judge Laurence Silberman, one of the two co-chairmen, said, "Our executive order did not direct us to deal with the use of intelligence by policy makers, and all of us were agreed that that was not part of our inquiry."

The scope of the initial Congressional review, by the Senate Intelligence Committee, was limited in March 2004, under an agreement between Republicans and Democrats, after Republicans blocked Democratic efforts to address issues involving the administration's use of intelligence.

Republicans regarded that issue as too sensitive for a presidential-election year, but their stance prompted sharp protests from Democrats, including Senator John D. Rockefeller IV of West Virginia, the ranking Democrat on the panel. This month, Democrats closed the Senate for two hours and threatened to shut it down if Republicans did not agree to move ahead with that part of the inquiry.

Thom Shanker contributed reporting for this article.


Comments: Post a Comment

<< Home

Archives

September 2004   October 2004   November 2004   December 2004   February 2005   April 2005   July 2005   August 2005   September 2005   October 2005   November 2005   December 2005   January 2006   February 2006   March 2011   June 2011   August 2011   September 2011   May 2012   February 2017   June 2019   August 2020  

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?