The Counter-deception Blog

Fooled Again? Developing Counter-deception Decision Support
May 2004

If you've seen The Sting, The Heist, or The Usual Suspects, you know how difficult it can be to catch a con artist's tricks and lies. Now, envision trying to gather all the information necessary to second-guess a wily enemy, such as a wartime foe. No repeat viewings allowed: everything happens in real time, with real stakes. Deception—whether by a con artist or an enemy force—is an everyday occurrence. But while deception is commonplace, systematic methods for spotting it are not, partly because common reasoning strategies aid the deceivers. ...http://www.mitre.org/news/digest/advanced_research/05_04/ar_counter_decision.html